Daily Stock Report
Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 09:37 SGT
1. Market Snapshot
Thursday, June 25, 2026 — all markets open and trading (no holidays). Mixed session: SGX/China indexes leading higher, while US stocks drift lower and HK/crypto remain under severe pressure. Crypto Fear & Greed at 12/100 - Extreme Fear (trending down) — the lowest reading in weeks, signalling potential capitulation. The STI is pushing toward new 52W highs at RSI 80.6, while HSI languishes near its lows at RSI 21.0 — the widest performance gap between SG and HK in months.
2. Market Benchmarks
| Index | Price | Chg% | RSI | 52W% | Trend |
|---|
| STI (SG) | 5,231.46 | +0.30% | 80.6 | +99.20% | Bullish |
| S&P 500 (US) | 7,358.22 | -0.10% | 38.8 | +83.00% | Bearish |
| HSI (HK) | 23,388.50 | +0.33% | 21.0 | +2.80% | Bearish |
| Shanghai Comp (CN) | 4,110.81 | +0.11% | 55.8 | +82.40% | Neutral |
| CSI 300 (CN) | 4,943.02 | +0.21% | 56.7 | +99.30% | Neutral |
Leading: STI (RSI 80.6, +99% from 52W low) and CSI 300 (+99.3%, RSI 56.7) are the clear outperformers — both in strong uptrends near multi-year highs. Lagging: HSI (RSI 21.0) is deeply oversold, while the S&P 500 (RSI 38.8) is moderating from highs. The SG/China vs US/HK divergence remains the dominant macro theme.
3. SGX Stocks (SGD)
| Name | Price | Chg% | RSI | Vol | MA20% | MA50% | MA200% | 52W% |
|---|
| DBS | 66.24 | +0.03% | 73.0 | +0.11 | +3.03% | +8.30% | +16.57% | +96.70% |
| OCBC | 25.04 | +0.36% | 70.9 | +0.08 | +3.74% | +8.01% | +23.27% | +97.00% |
| UMS | 2.66 | +3.91% | 57.0 | +0.19 | +0.80% | +7.55% | +69.25% | +77.50% |
| Sheng Siong | 3.26 | +1.24% | 75.0 | +0.12 | +3.46% | +5.33% | +21.11% | +98.60% |
| HSTECH | 0.73 | +1.40% | 25.2 | +0.06 | -5.06% | -6.91% | -16.80% | +3.80% |
Sector trend: SG banks (DBS +0.03%, OCBC +0.36%) continue their steady climb — both at RSI 70+ with golden crosses intact, though volume is extremely thin today (0.08-0.11x average). Sheng Siong (RSI 75.0) is overbought at 98.6% of its 52W range — stretched. Divergence: HSTECH (RSI 25.2, death cross) is the clear laggard, down -7.87% in a month and trading at just 3.8% from its 52W low — a contrarian setup emerging. UMS (RSI 56.6, golden cross, +69% above MA200) is consolidating healthily mid-range.
4. US Stocks (USD)
| Name | Price | Chg% | RSI | Vol | MA20% | MA50% | MA200% | 52W% |
|---|
| NVDA | $199.00 | -0.52% | 34.4 | +0.94 | -5.10% | -5.34% | +4.52% | +57.00% |
| AAPL | $293.08 | -0.41% | 31.3 | +0.86 | -2.80% | +0.78% | +8.94% | +79.40% |
| TSLA | $375.53 | -1.59% | 36.2 | +0.75 | -7.94% | -7.23% | -10.09% | +41.30% |
| MCHI | $51.43 | -0.73% | 18.7 | +1.74 | -5.35% | -8.69% | -14.64% | +0.60% |
Broad weakness: All four US watchlist names are below their MA20, with RSI readings in the 18-36 range signalling oversold conditions. AAPL (RSI 31.3) still has a golden cross and sits +8.94% above MA200 — structurally intact but pulling back. NVDA (RSI 34.4, death cross) is the battleground: -5.1% below MA20 but +4.52% above MA200 — this is the key support test at $190. TSLA (RSI 36.2) is below all major MAs with a -10.09% distance to MA200 — the weakest of the mega-caps. MCHI (RSI 18.7) is in full capitulation at 0.6% from its 52W low, reflecting China growth fears.
5. HKSE Stocks (HKD)
| Name | Price | Chg% | RSI | Vol | MA20% | MA50% | MA200% | 52W% |
|---|
| BYD | HK$75.90 | +0.13% | 10.3 | +0.83 | -12.34% | -20.70% | -23.82% | +2.70% |
| Alibaba | HK$97.30 | +0.45% | 10.6 | +0.97 | -15.01% | -22.07% | -32.70% | +0.00% |
Extreme oversold territory: Both BYD (RSI 10.3) and Alibaba (RSI 10.6) are at levels rarely seen — deep in exhaustion territory with death crosses across all timeframes. Alibaba is at exactly its 52W low (HK$97.30), while BYD is just 2.7% above its low. Monthly losses of -17.09% (BYD) and -21.73% (Alibaba) suggest panic selling. Contrarian lens: These are textbook washout readings — but no momentum catalyst yet. Buyer beware: value traps are real in downtrends. Worth watching for a volume spike reversal signal before deploying capital.
6. Crypto (USD)
Fear & Greed: 12/100 - Extreme Fear (down)
| Name | Price | Chg% | RSI | Vol | MA20% | MA50% | MA200% | 52W% |
|---|
| BTC | $60,754.80 | -3.05% | 38.7 | +1.60 | -4.02% | -14.50% | -20.38% | +2.50% |
| ETH | $1,617.09 | -2.90% | 43.4 | +1.33 | -4.12% | -17.09% | -30.98% | +3.20% |
| DOGE | $0.08 | -3.40% | 19.8 | +1.76 | -9.55% | -20.91% | -28.42% | +0.10% |
Capitulation zone: Fear & Greed at 12/100 (Extreme Fear, trend: down) confirms broad crypto risk-off. All three coins are below all major moving averages with death crosses. BTC (RSI 38.7, -20.38% below MA200) is just 2.5% above its 52W low — ~$59K is the line in the sand. ETH (RSI 43.5) is -30.94% below MA200, making it technically the weakest large-cap. DOGE (RSI 19.8, 0.1% from 52W low) is in full crash mode. Volume note: Elevated volume ratios (BTC 1.6x, ETH 1.33x, DOGE 1.76x) suggest distribution/capitulation, not accumulation. Not a buying bottom until volume normalises and RSI reclaims 30+.
7. Currency Corner (SGD Perspective)
SGD weakening slightly: USD/SGD at 1.2967, +0.48% today — the SGD is modestly weaker against the greenback. For a Singapore-based investor, this means US holdings (NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, MCHI) are partially hedged by FX: USD-denominated losses are slightly cushioned when converted back to SGD. Conversely, HK stocks (HKD pegged to USD) see a similar but smaller effect. CNY/SGD at 0.19 — if the SGD continues to soften, China A-share exposure via CSI 300 becomes marginally more expensive for SGD-based investors.
8. Key Signals
Oversold (RSI < 25)
- BYD RSI 10.3
- Alibaba RSI 10.6
- MCHI RSI 18.7
- DOGE RSI 19.8
- HSI RSI 21.0
Unusual Volume (Low)
- DBS 0.11x (thin)
- OCBC 0.08x (thin)
- OCBC 0.08x (thin)
- UMS 0.19x (thin)
- Sheng Siong 0.12x (thin)
- HSTECH 0.06x (thin)
Near 52W High (>95%)
- CSI 300 99.3%
- STI 99.2%
- Sheng Siong 98.6%
- OCBC 97.0%
- OCBC 97.0%
- DBS 96.7%
Near 52W Low (<10%)
- Alibaba 0.0%
- DOGE 0.1%
- MCHI 0.6%
- BTC 2.5%
- BYD 2.7%
- HSI 2.8%
- ETH 3.2%
- HSTECH 3.8%
Golden Cross (MA20 > MA50)
- AAPL
- CSI 300
- DBS
- OCBC
- OCBC
- S&P 500
- STI
- Sheng Siong
- TSLA
- UMS
Death Cross (MA20 < MA50)
- Alibaba
- BTC
- BYD
- DOGE
- ETH
- HSI
- HSTECH
- MCHI
- NVDA
- Shanghai Comp
What the signals mean in aggregate: The signal board tells a story of two portfolios. The SG/China side (STI, CSI 300, DBS, OCBC, Sheng Siong) is overextended to the upside — near 52W highs, golden crosses intact, but volume thinning, suggesting the rally may be running out of steam. The US/HK/Crypto side is deeply oversold — MCHI, BYD, Alibaba, DOGE all below RSI 20, near 52W lows with death crosses. This is the most extreme divergence in signals since early 2024. Key question: does strength rotate from SG/China into beaten-down US/HK, or does global risk-off eventually pull SGX down too? The low volume on SGX today (0.06-0.19x normal) suggests indecision at the top.
9. Earnings Calendar Alert
Next 14 days (Jun 25 - Jul 9, 2026): No watchlist tickers have confirmed earnings dates in this window. NVDA's next (Q2 FY2027) report is expected in late August. DBS and OCBC typically report semi-annually — the next SG bank earnings season is in August. No near-term earnings catalysts for the watchlist.
10. TL;DR
Key Takeaway
The market is splitting in two. Your SGX holdings (DBS, OCBC, Sheng Siong) and China A-shares (CSI 300) are near 52-week highs with strong momentum — but RSI readings above 70 and thinning volume suggest upside is becoming fragile. Consider trailing stops on DBS/OCBC and partial profit-taking on Sheng Siong if it breaks above $3.30.
Meanwhile, your US stocks (especially TSLA, MCHI) and HK names (BYD, Alibaba) are deeply oversold — RSI 10-36 range — but caught in death crosses with no reversal signal yet. Do not bottom-fish until you see a volume spike with a green day confirming a swing low. Crypto remains in full capitulation at Fear & Greed 12/100 — BTC testing $60K support is the one to watch for a potential relief bounce, but wait for RSI to reclaim 30 before adding.
Action: Trim into SGX strength. Wait for confirmation on US/HK/crypto weakness. The divergence is unsustainable — a rotation is coming, but we don't know the direction.
Disclaimer: This report is generated by an automated agent for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data sourced from Yahoo Finance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.