Daily Stock Report

Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 13:23 SGT
Fear & Greed: 74/100 - Greed (up)

1. Market Snapshot

Tuesday 25 Aug 2026 — all markets open (no US/SG holidays, not a weekend). Asia trades mixed: the STI grinds toward record territory (+0.37%), Hong Kong is flat-to-lower (-0.26%), while China stages a high-volume stabilisation attempt (CSI 300 +0.67% on ~5x average volume). Crypto remains the standout momentum pocket with Fear & Greed at 74/100 – Greed (rising) and BTC +3.5% on the day — but RSI readings are extremely stretched. Key event risk: NVDA Q2 FY27 results tomorrow after the US close.

2. Market Benchmarks

IndexPriceChg%RSI52W%Trend
STI (SG)5,701.59+0.37%65.1+95.30%Bullish
S&P 500 (US)7,652.86-0.28%41.3+89.10%Neutral
HSI (HK)25,449.74-0.26%48.5+52.90%Neutral
Shanghai Comp (CN)3,887.28+0.14%48.0+29.40%Neutral
CSI 300 (CN)4,559.64+0.67%29.3+99.80%Bearish

Singapore is the clear leader — STI at 95% of its 52-week range with RSI 65, while the S&P 500 (89% of range) is consolidating after a pullback (RSI 41.3). China is the laggard: Shanghai Comp sits at only 29% of its range with a death cross, though today’s ~5x volume surge in both Shanghai and CSI 300 suggests heavy churn at oversold levels (CSI 300 RSI 29.3). HK sits in the middle (HSI 53% of range, RSI 48.5). Divergence is the theme: SG leads, US cools, China/HK test bottoms.

3. SGX Stocks (SGD)

NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
DBS76.07+0.67%62.3+0.64+0.85%+6.40%+24.62%+93.30%
OCBC31.10+0.58%74.9+0.45+2.67%+10.90%+36.33%+95.10%
UMS2.69+1.13%62.8+0.61+5.72%+4.52%+43.97%+78.30%
Sheng Siong3.20+0.31%45.7+0.29-1.28%-1.74%+9.71%+81.90%
HSTECH0.73-3.84%21.4+0.86-5.04%-3.42%-11.52%+9.80%

Banks remain the engine: DBS (+0.67%) and OCBC (+0.58%) are riding record H1 results (reported 5–7 Aug) — OCBC RSI 74.9 is approaching overbought and both trade at 93–95% of their 52-week ranges. UMS rose +1.13% but prints a death cross (MA20<MA50) while still +44% above its MA200 — a momentum-vs-trend conflict. Defensives are quiet: Sheng Siong +0.31% on just 0.29x volume (thin tape). HSTECH is the standout loser: -3.84%, RSI 21.4 (deeply oversold), 9.8% of its 52-week range — SG tech is out of favour while cyclicals/banks lead. Cross signals: DBS/OCBC/HSTECH golden, UMS/Sheng Siong death.

4. US Stocks (USD)

NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
NVDA$208.48-2.91%35.2+1.28-2.48%+0.40%+6.73%+61.30%
AAPL$310.34+0.32%49.1+0.77-0.85%-0.05%+10.17%+71.40%
TSLA$348.95-3.83%64.8+1.01+5.70%-4.36%-13.38%+25.60%
MCHI$54.93-1.31%40.9+0.64-0.97%+1.98%-5.41%+28.90%

The US tape is soft into earnings: NVDA -2.91% on 1.28x volume with RSI 35.2 — de-risking ahead of tomorrow’s Q2 print; it still holds above MA50 (+0.4%) and MA200 (+6.7%), so this is a pre-event pullback, not a broken trend. TSLA -3.83% keeps its downtrend (death cross, -13.4% below MA200). AAPL is the most neutral name (RSI 49.1, flat vs MA50). MCHI -1.31% mirrors China weakness. The S&P 500 (RSI 41.3) has cooled from highs — a healthy reset, but NVDA’s print is the near-term direction-setter for the whole complex.

5. HKSE Stocks (HKD)

NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
BYDHK$91.85-1.02%57.1+0.55+0.27%+6.02%-3.67%+41.40%
AlibabaHK$113.70+1.07%35.3+0.41-6.64%+1.50%-15.79%+25.70%

Hong Kong is treading water (HSI -0.26%, RSI 48.5, mid-range). Alibaba (+1.07%) is the contrarian watch: after June-quarter results (20 Aug, revenue +9% YoY) it is oversold (RSI 35.3) and -15.8% below its MA200, yet a golden cross (MA20>MA50) hints a base is forming — a mean-reversion candidate if China sentiment firms. BYD is steadier (RSI 57.1, +6% above MA50) but below its MA200 (-3.7%). Both names sit well below 52-week highs — HK lacks SG’s momentum; treat dips as accumulation candidates, not trends.

6. Crypto (USD)

Fear & Greed: 74/100 - Greed (up)
NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
BTC$80,510.65+3.54%90.3+1.15+19.12%+22.93%+16.52%+33.30%
ETH$2,503.38+1.61%87.4+0.93+22.09%+29.38%+24.52%+30.60%
DOGE$0.09-0.99%86.3+0.71+22.99%+26.18%+3.57%+10.30%

Crypto is in full risk-on mode but technically overextended: BTC RSI 90.3, ETH 87.4, DOGE 86.3 after a monster month (+27% BTC, +35% ETH, +32% DOGE). Note BTC is still only 33% of its 52-week range — this is a powerful recovery leg from the 126k-to-58k drawdown, not a new high. Fear & Greed at 74 (Greed, rising) confirms hot sentiment but not yet blow-off extremes (90+). Momentum is real, but with price 19–23% above the MA20, a sharp mean-reversion is the base case: trail stops, don’t chase. Bounce potential after any dip remains high given the golden crosses on all three majors.

7. Currency Corner (SGD Perspective)

USD/SGD
1.27
-0.57%
CNY/SGD
0.19
---

USD/SGD 1.2710, -0.57% on the day — the SGD is firming against the USD, consistent with MAS’s strong-SGD policy stance and risk-on Asia flows. CNY/SGD 0.1886 is little changed. Portfolio impact: SGD strength trims the SGD value of unhedged USD and HKD holdings (HKD is USD-pegged), so headline USD gains in the US book are slightly reduced in home-currency terms. No action needed, but it reinforces holding SGD cash/STI exposure and favours SGD-hedged or SGD-income assets at the margin.

8. Key Signals

Overbought (RSI > 75)

  • BTC RSI 90.3
  • ETH RSI 87.4
  • DOGE RSI 86.3

Oversold (RSI < 25)

  • HSTECH RSI 21.4

Unusual Volume (High)

  • Shanghai Comp 4.99x
  • CSI 300 5.00x

Unusual Volume (Low)

  • Sheng Siong 0.29x (thin)

Near 52W High (>95%)

  • CSI 300 99.8%
  • STI 95.3%
  • OCBC 95.1%
  • OCBC 95.1%

Near 52W Low (<10%)

  • HSTECH 9.8%

Golden Cross (MA20 > MA50)

  • AAPL
  • Alibaba
  • BTC
  • BYD
  • DBS
  • DBS
  • DOGE
  • ETH
  • HSI
  • HSTECH
  • MCHI
  • NVDA
  • OCBC
  • OCBC
  • S&P 500
  • STI

Death Cross (MA20 < MA50)

  • CSI 300
  • Shanghai Comp
  • Sheng Siong
  • TSLA
  • UMS

What the signals mean in aggregate

A two-speed market. Momentum is concentrated in Singapore banks (DBS/OCBC at 93–95% of 52-week range post-record results) and crypto (all three majors overbought at RSI 86–90 after a powerful recovery leg). Risk appetite is absent in China (death crosses, CSI 300 RSI 29.3), HK tech (Alibaba 35.3) and US megacap tech ahead of NVDA’s print. The ~5x volume spike in Shanghai/CSI 300 is the most interesting anomaly — unusually heavy turnover at oversold levels can mark the start of accumulation, but one day is not a signal. Net: froth is in crypto, value is being tested in China/HK tech, and the US is a coin-flip into NVDA earnings.

9. Earnings Calendar Alert

⚠️ NVDA (NVIDIA) reports Q2 FY2027 results Wednesday 26 Aug 2026 after the US close (2pm PT call) — the biggest event risk on the watchlist this week; expect elevated IV, and a miss/guidance wobble would hit the S&P 500 and MCHI. Alibaba already reported on 20 Aug (June-quarter revenue RMB 268.95bn, +9% YoY) — the post-earnings drift is what pushed RSI to 35.3. SG banks reported H1 on 5–7 Aug (OCBC record S$4.19bn H1 net profit, +13%) and underpin the current bank run. No other watchlist names report within the next 14 days (AAPL/TSLA next in late Oct).

10. TL;DR

Key Takeaway

The STI is the standout — near record highs on record bank earnings (DBS/OCBC at 93–95% of their 52-week range) — while China and HK tech remain oversold and US megacaps consolidate ahead of NVDA’s earnings tomorrow after the close. Crypto is violently overbought (RSI 86–90) after a +27–35% monthly surge: trim into strength and use trailing stops rather than adding. Treat the ~5x volume CSI 300 churn as an early accumulation watch item, but wait for momentum confirmation. SGD strength (-0.57% vs USD) slightly trims the SGD value of USD/HKD holdings. Net: hold SG banks, de-risk crypto, and stay patient on China tech until the tape confirms.