Daily Stock Report

Monday, October 05, 2026 at 09:39 SGT
Fear & Greed: 70/100 - Greed (down)

1. Market Snapshot

Monday, 5 October 2026, 09:37 SGT — all major markets are open and trading normally (no US or SG public holiday, and not a weekend), though SGX figures are an early-session snapshot, so the very low SGX volume ratios are understated. Global sentiment is two-speed: US equities and onshore China are firm, Hong Kong is sharply lower, and crypto Fear & Greed holds at 70/100 - Greed but is trending down from 74 — a market that is still optimistic yet visibly losing momentum.

2. Market Benchmarks

IndexPriceChg%RSI52W%Trend
STI (SG)5,663.84+0.52%54.6+89.10%Neutral
S&P 500 (US)7,722.72+0.73%63.4+93.70%Neutral
HSI (HK)23,963.41-2.60%30.7+26.10%Bearish
Shanghai Comp (CN)3,842.20+0.31%36.3+19.50%Bearish
CSI 300 (CN)4,357.62+0.29%---+98.80%—
US and onshore-China markets are leading: the S&P 500 (+0.73%) sits at 94% of its 52-week range with a golden cross, while the CSI 300 prints a fresh 98.8% 52W reading — a stark divergence from Hong Kong, where the HSI tumbled -2.60% to RSI 30.7 and only 26% of its yearly range. Singapore's STI (+0.52%) is holding up but flashing a death cross (MA20 < MA50), a short-term loss of momentum even as it trades ~9.6% above its 200-day average. Net: risk appetite is concentrated in US tech and onshore China, with Hong Kong and SGX-listed tech proxies as the clear laggards.

3. SGX Stocks (SGD)

NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
DBS77.97+0.98%63.6+0.14+0.65%+1.85%+21.08%+96.00%
OCBC31.87+0.66%61.0+0.10+0.66%+2.61%+29.02%+95.60%
UMS2.92+1.04%73.6+0.15+9.67%+12.17%+39.65%+89.10%
Sheng Siong3.21+0.00%41.2+0.05-0.79%-0.85%+6.91%+81.60%
HSTECH0.66-0.30%34.1+0.15-4.06%-9.05%-16.12%+0.90%
Singapore banks remain the market's anchors — DBS (+0.97%, RSI 63.5) and OCBC (+0.66%, RSI 61.0) both sit within ~4% of their 52-week highs and hold golden crosses. Today's SGX volume ratios (DBS 0.14x, OCBC 0.10x, Sheng Siong 0.05x) are early-session artefacts of the 09:37 SGT snapshot and not meaningful thinness. UMS is the standout momentum name, +14.6% on the month with RSI 73.2 (overbought) and trading ~39% above its 200-day line — extended, but the golden cross is intact. The divergence is stark in the laggards: Sheng Siong is flat and below its 20/50-day averages, while the HSTECH ETF (-0.30%, RSI 34.1) is pinned at 0.9% of its 52-week range — effectively a 52-week low — as Hong Kong tech weakness bleeds through. Defensive positioning (banks + staples) is clearly outperforming China-tech beta.

4. US Stocks (USD)

NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
NVDA$233.95+1.34%82.4+1.13+4.54%+7.18%+16.56%+94.70%
AAPL$333.69+1.02%52.9+0.87+0.54%+3.50%+15.40%+88.60%
TSLA$370.59+4.65%59.5+1.40+1.57%+6.62%-5.75%+36.30%
MCHI$51.24-1.67%35.4+0.80-3.26%-5.62%-9.80%+8.00%
US mega-cap tech is the engine of global risk appetite today: TSLA led with +4.65% on 1.4x volume to reclaim its golden cross, and AAPL added +1.02%, comfortably above all key averages. NVDA (+1.34%) is the caution flag — RSI 82.4 is deeply overbought and the stock trades ~5% below its 52-week high at 94.7% of range, leaving it vulnerable to a mean-reversion pullback despite a strong golden cross and a ~16.6% cushion above the 200-day. MCHI is the mirror image: -1.67%, RSI 35.4, death cross, and only 8% of its 52-week range — China A-share proxies in USD terms remain in a clear downtrend. The setup favours trailing stops on extended winners rather than fresh chase entries.

5. HKSE Stocks (HKD)

NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
BYDHK$73.75-2.25%22.6+0.83-7.83%-14.70%-20.87%+5.60%
AlibabaHK$104.10-2.06%47.0+0.91-3.95%-9.08%-19.07%+16.20%
Hong Kong is the weakest major market on the board, and the watchlist shows why: BYD fell a further -2.25% to RSI 22.6 — deeply oversold — at just 5.6% of its 52-week range and ~21% below its 200-day average: a genuine capitulation setup, but one with no reversal signal yet. Alibaba (-2.06%, RSI 47.0) is also below all major averages with a death cross and only 16.2% of its yearly range, and the HSI itself at RSI 30.7 confirms broad-based selling pressure. For a contrarian investor, BYD's RSI < 25 combined with a virtually complete round-trip from its 52-week high is textbook oversold; but with price below every moving average, the disciplined play is to wait for stabilisation or an MA20 reclaim rather than catch the falling knife.

6. Crypto (USD)

Fear & Greed: 70/100 - Greed (down)
NamePriceChg%RSIVolMA20%MA50%MA200%52W%
BTC$86,693.62+2.28%50.6+0.57+4.62%+9.69%+21.25%+42.30%
ETH$2,725.38+1.42%39.7+0.54+2.93%+8.97%+28.65%+37.50%
DOGE$0.10+3.58%43.3+0.84+4.28%+9.89%+9.51%+13.90%
Crypto is in a recovery phase within a larger drawdown: BTC (+2.25% to ~$86.7k), ETH (+1.37%) and DOGE (+3.49%) all closed green and hold golden crosses, yet BTC trades at only 42% and DOGE at just 13.9% of their 52-week ranges — a market that has already capitulated hard from its highs (BTC's 52W high ~$126k). The Fear & Greed Index reads 70 (Greed) but with a downward trend; sentiment is positive yet cooling, which often precedes either consolidation or a sharp reversal. ETH's RSI 39.4 is the notable soft spot, lagging the bounce, and volume ratios under 0.6x across BTC and ETH suggest the rally is running on light participation — constructive price action, but not yet a high-conviction trend reversal.

7. Currency Corner (SGD Perspective)

USD/SGD
1.28
+0.16%
CNY/SGD
0.19
---
USD/SGD firmed +0.16% to 1.2793, a mild US-dollar bounce that trims SGD strength at the margin, while CNY/SGD held near 0.1901. For a Singapore-based investor the practical read is simple: a stronger USD modestly inflates the SGD value of US and crypto holdings (all USD-denominated) and makes fresh USD deployments slightly more expensive, while a softer CNY/SGD reflects the weak China complex that is pressuring MCHI, BYD and Alibaba. No dramatic FX move today — SGD remains resilient near multi-year strength, so currency is not a major portfolio headwind this session.

8. Key Signals

Overbought (RSI > 75)

  • NVDA RSI 82.4

Oversold (RSI < 25)

  • BYD RSI 22.6

Unusual Volume (Low)

  • DBS 0.14x (thin)
  • OCBC 0.10x (thin)
  • UMS 0.15x (thin)
  • Sheng Siong 0.05x (thin)
  • HSTECH 0.15x (thin)

Near 52W High (>95%)

  • CSI 300 98.8%
  • DBS 96.0%
  • OCBC 95.6%

Near 52W Low (<10%)

  • HSTECH 0.9%
  • BYD 5.6%
  • MCHI 8.0%

Golden Cross (MA20 > MA50)

  • AAPL
  • BTC
  • DBS
  • DOGE
  • ETH
  • NVDA
  • OCBC
  • S&P 500
  • Shanghai Comp
  • TSLA
  • UMS

Death Cross (MA20 < MA50)

  • Alibaba
  • BYD
  • HSI
  • HSTECH
  • MCHI
  • STI
  • Sheng Siong
Aggregate read: this is a barbell market. Strength is concentrated in US mega-cap tech (NVDA, AAPL and TSLA all golden-crossed and near highs) and Singapore banks (DBS/OCBC at 95%+ of range), while the entire China/HK complex — MCHI, BYD, Alibaba and HSTECH — sits in death-cross territory near 52-week lows, with BYD technically oversold. The single most actionable tension is NVDA: RSI 82.4 at 94.7% of range argues for trimming into strength, whereas BYD's RSI 22.6 at 5.6% of range is a contrarian watch-list entry pending stabilisation. Crypto's golden crosses plus cooling Greed suggest a fragile bounce rather than a breakout.

9. Earnings Calendar Alert

No watchlist ticker reports earnings within the next 14 days (window through 19 Oct 2026). Nearest catalyst: Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2026 results, Wednesday 21 October 2026 after the US close — just outside the window but worth diary-marking given TSLA's +4.65% session today. Looking further out, DBS and OCBC release Q3 2026 results on 5–6 November 2026, with BYD, AAPL and Alibaba expected in late October / mid-November.

10. TL;DR

Key Takeaway

Global risk appetite is split down the middle. US mega-cap tech (S&P 500 +0.73%; NVDA, AAPL and TSLA all golden-crossed) and Singapore banks (DBS +0.97%, OCBC +0.66%, both within ~4% of 52-week highs) are leading, while Hong Kong and China-facing names are bleeding — the HSI fell -2.60% to RSI 30.7, and BYD (RSI 22.6, 5.6% of its 52W range) and MCHI (8.0% of range) sit near capitulation. NVDA's RSI 82.4 at 94.7% of its yearly range is the clearest take-profit signal; BYD's deeply oversold RSI is the clearest contrarian watch, but with price below every moving average there is no confirmation yet. Crypto is bouncing (BTC +2.25%, ETH +1.37%, DOGE +3.49%) but on light sub-0.6x volume with Fear & Greed cooling from 74 to 70 — treat it as a fragile recovery, not a trend change. USD/SGD ticked +0.16% to 1.2793, marginally lifting the SGD value of USD assets. Actionable stance: hold SG banks, trail stops on extended US tech, keep dry powder for a confirmed China/HK bottom, and note that no watchlist ticker reports earnings within the next 14 days (nearest is Tesla's Q3 on 21 Oct).